Film Room: Why Jordan Dumais is the 2022 NHL Draft's outlier

There is at least one prospect every season that triggers a fight between the statistical and the eye-test analysts, two parties that should have reconciled by now, but are still in a grip when it comes to outliers. Jordan Dumais is an outlier, an extreme case study in many regards. 

This season, he managed one of the best productions ever for a draft-eligible prospect. His 109 points in 68 games put his name on the modern historical leaderboard next to many other elite talents of the league, players like Nikolaj Ehlers, Pierre-Luc Dubois and Jonathan Huberdeau. 

Alexis Lafrenière's draft year is the only one better than Dumais' 2021-22 season in the past seven QMJHL seasons. The first overall pick was in his third season when he did it and Dumais is in his second. In Lafrenière's sophomore year, he put up 105 points in 61 games, a production comparable to this year for Dumais. 

Yet, despite the Halifax Mooseheads forward's incredible numbers, he's ranked in the third round by a lot of public scouting outlets, including Elite Prospects. 

So, what's going on?